Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Ben Gvir is elected to Knesset 97.8%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 24, 4:35 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Feel free to add answers, but only for the election results and Knesset members, not the government.
- Invalid answers will be resolved to NA.
- Will resolve upon final, official results.
- Update 2026-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "the named outcome" resolves based on whether Netanyahu is elected to the Knesset, as determined by the officially published election results.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will be the results of Israel's next election??
- Manifold Markets prices Ben Gvir is elected to Knesset at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will be the results of Israel's next election? resolve?
- What will be the results of Israel's next election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is What will be the results of Israel's next election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Feel free to add answers, but only for the election results and Knesset members, not the government.