Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Global Pandemic 62.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Global Pandemic 62.4%Forecasters
37
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJun 25, 24, 8:24 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a global catastrophe kill at least 10% of humans before 2030, and what will be the cause?
Manifold MarketsWill a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill flatback posture be confirmed as the primary cause of schizophrenia by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the increase in gender dysphoria over the past few decades?
Manifold MarketsIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Manifold MarketsRules
Will we be bowing down to AI, or mother Nature will have the last laugh with a climate calamity, or global tensions will erupt in a nuclear showdown.
- Could it be that our economic systems will crumble under their own weight?
