Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
Labour Party 20.6%+1.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 10:37 AMAug 17, 29, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Labour Party21%
Volume trend
$320Jul 204d of dataJul 23
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Each party resolves to the %age of seats in the House of Commons it gets at the next general election.
- There are 650 MPs in total, so for example if a party wins 65 seats they would resolve at 10%.