Current community forecast
Labour Party 35.2%+0.2ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 50 minutes ago
LaggingJul 20, 26, 10:37 AM UTCAug 17, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the four largest parties at the next UK general election in order (by number of seats)?
Manifold MarketsWhat vote shares will the parties get at the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?
Manifold MarketsIn the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRules
Each party resolves to the %age of seats in the House of Commons it gets at the next general election.
- There are 650 MPs in total, so for example if a party wins 65 seats they would resolve at 10%.
