![In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FYann%2F4fyoi8x7i4.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Reform UK 97%Leader of 11 outcomes
Reform UK 97%Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 7, 24, 4:21 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves to yes if the party gains more seats.
- Resolves to no if the party looses or has the same amount of seats.
- Uses the number of seats “as elected” as benchmark and not any party switching that may happen thereafter.
- Seats lost in runoff elections do not count.