KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Labour party 34.3%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$393.3
Liquidity
$99.5K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 16, 26, 3:00 PM UTCAug 31, 29, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
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Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
If the the named outcome party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No. If the the named outcome receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.1pt53.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez+31.5pt45.4%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
- $713.5K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Total Vol
- $22.5M
- 24h Vol
- $562K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.6M
- 24h Vol
- $464.3K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the next UK general election??
- Kalshi prices Labour party at 34% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the next UK general election? resolve?
- Which party will win the next UK general election? is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2029.
- How is Which party will win the next UK general election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the named outcome party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Which party will win the next UK general election? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Gemini.