Current community forecast
0 64.7%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 8, 25, 7:30 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
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KalshiWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill this party win the next UK general election? × Will the UK apply to join the EU in the five years after?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the number of seats won by "Your Party" in the next UK general election.
- The official results, as published by the UK Electoral Commission, will determine the outcome.
- The market will resolve to the answer corresponding to the seat range that includes the total number of seats won by "Your Party." For example, if "Your Party" wins 10 seats, the market will resolve to the "9-13" option.
- Question title will be changed if the party changes its name.
- Question will resolve to 0 if the party runs no candidates in the next general election.
