If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Politics3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
0.6% - 0.9% 27.2%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 24, 7:21 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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PolymarketRules
Resolves according to the World Bank.
- Average will be taken as [(GDP per Capita PPP in 2028)/(GDP per Capita PPP in 2024)]^(1/4).
- Corresponding market for a Conservative victory:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Tetraspace/if-conservatives-win-the-next-elect)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be??
- Manifold Markets prices 0.6% - 0.9% at 27% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be? resolve?
- If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves according to the World Bank.