Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035? resolve?

Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.

How is Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Any quarter counts.

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POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-7.0pt72%
• 1 (25 bps)+7.5pt28%
• 3 (75 bps)+0.1pt0%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$84K

POLYMARKET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.9%+8.5pt81%
• Below 4.8%+20.5pt73%
• Below 4.7%+2.5pt34%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-4.5pt73%
• No+4.5pt27%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$30.4K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike-7.5pt71.7%
• Hike–Pause–Pause+6.0pt26.3%
• Other+1.1pt2%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• CPI in October (exact value)
• Core CPI in October
• How high will inflation get in 2026?
• Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
• CPI in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• CPI in December
• Canada Annual Inflation 2026
• PPI MoM in October
• Core CPI YoY in November
• Core CPI YoY - October 2026
• October Inflation US - Annual