What are the current odds for How many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election??

Manifold Markets prices 4 at 45.2% as of October 31, 2026.

How many parties will win more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

4 45.2%

Leader of 5 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

-3.7 pts

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

May 3, 25, 6:42 AM UTCAug 30, 29, 6:37 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve based on the number of political parties that secure more than 30 seats in the next UK General Election.
The resolution will be determined by the official election results published by the UK Electoral Commission.
The possible outcomes are:
2 or fewer parties
the named outcome parties