Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastR+ >0% to <= 2% 27%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 30, 26, 12:46 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsNext Senate Majority Leader?
PolymarketJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExNext Senate Majority Leader?
LimitlessRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices R+ >0% to <= 2% at 27% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026? resolve?
- Tipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.