Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastMike Judge 36%+7.2ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 31, 26, 7:42 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsimivalleymayor/who-will-win-the-simi-valley-california-mayoral-election/kxsimivalleymayor-26
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Simi Valley, California mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Simi Valley mayoral election winner? · Dee Dee Cavanaugh 34%