Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 25, 4:32 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
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PredictItRules
Based on recent news will we find out Pete is playing War Thunder at the Pentagon? This market resolves YES if we find an account that belong's to Hegseth
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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+2 more outcomes
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- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Pete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms? resolve?
- Pete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is Pete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Based on recent news will we find out Pete is playing War Thunder at the Pentagon? This market resolves YES if we find an account that belong's to Hegseth