KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 68.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2027 68.5%Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$246.6
Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
—
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 27, 26, 4:05 PM UTCNov 21, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth's War Thunder account revealed before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth be appointed to the Tennessee US Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRules
If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Judiciary Committee Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling Deemed passage without an actual vote A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on an amendment to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on a resolution that only authorizes or directs an impeachment inquiry or investigation of Pete Hegseth For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, whatever the outcome of the vote: A vote on adopting a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on any article of it A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, or on ordering the previous question on it A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives the time for its consideration
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 21, 2026
- If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 14, 2026
- If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.