KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Nov 1, 2026 69%+52.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$532.6
Liquidity
$34.4K
High liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth leave office in 2026?
PredictItRules
If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pete HegsethThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersDepartment of DefenseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth departure announced??
- Kalshi prices Before Nov 1, 2026 at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Pete Hegseth departure announced? resolve?
- Pete Hegseth departure announced? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Pete Hegseth departure announced? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Pete Hegseth leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of Defense the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.