Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.9%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 17, 24, 4:16 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This question resolves to YES if any government entity anywhere in the US issues a lockdown or mandate (such as a mask mandate we had with Covid) affecting the general population within their respective district, for the purpose of controlling Monkeypox, by the end of 2026.
- If this doesn't happen by the end of 2026, this question resolves to NO.
- Territories such as PR count as the "US"
- Government entities include but are not limited to city, county, state, or the Federal government, or any military branch if they are operating on US soil.
- US military operating on foreign soil does not count.
- Other US govt agencies such as US embassies operating on foreign soil do not count.
