Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:33 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastFewer than 50 seats 97.7%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 23, 26, 11:55 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PolymarketHow many Israeli elections before government formed?
PolymarketIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?
PolymarketWill the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsHow many Israeli elections until a government forms?
KalshiWill the Israeli elections result in government formation?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.