PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 91.1%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$192.8
Liquidity
$11.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
90.0% / 93.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
3
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:51 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PolymarketWill the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsLikud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections
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PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel election: will Likud lose seats??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Israel election: will Likud lose seats? resolve?
- Israel election: will Likud lose seats? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel election: will Likud lose seats? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.