KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
1 0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 28, 30, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
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0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
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PolymarketRules
If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Count nationwide Knesset elections actually held, beginning with the next election after issuance.
- Each election counts once, including repeat elections held before a new government is formed.
- Scheduled or cancelled elections, local elections, and separate voting phases of the same election do not count separately.
- A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it.
- The count stops at the first such vote after the first counted election, or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Israeli elections until a government forms??
- Kalshi prices 1 at 0% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many Israeli elections until a government forms? resolve?
- How many Israeli elections until a government forms? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2030.
- How is How many Israeli elections until a government forms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.