How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
3.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessElectionSports4mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
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Stored price
1 61%Leader of 5 outcomes
1 61%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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1Spread
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Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingAug 28, 26, 10:00 PM UTCMar 9, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 1
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PolymarketRules
If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Count nationwide Knesset elections actually held, beginning with the next election after issuance. Each election counts once, including repeat elections held before a new government is formed. Scheduled or cancelled elections, local elections, and separate voting phases of the same election do not count separately. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. The count stops at the first such vote after the first counted election, or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first. A coalition agreement, presidential assignment, or continuation of the outgoing government does not end the count. If no new government has formed by the cutoff, count elections held through the cutoff. If no election is held, all listed markets resolve No. Use the Central Elections Committee’s official election records and the Knesset’s official government-formation record.
Rules for each outcome
- 1
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 3 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is at least 5 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4
- If the number of Israeli Knesset elections held is exactly 4 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first, then the market resolves to Yes.