How many Israeli elections before government formed?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessElectionMiddle EastSports1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
1 79.4%-2.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$696.4
Liquidity
$84.6K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
4
7d Change
-16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 10:14 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
- Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
- Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution.
- Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
- A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
