Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAfter March 31 2026. 100%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 11, 26, 10:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was born on September 8, 1969, making him currently 56 years old.
- This market resolves based on the date of his death, if it occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources reporting his death, including major news agencies (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) or official Iranian government announcements.
- The market will resolve to whichever answer bracket corresponds to the date his death is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced as Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, 2026, following the assassination of his father Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026.