Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 77.3%
Forecasters
70
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 26, 9:34 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
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Manifold MarketsIn how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
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+49 more outcomes
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+39 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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+35 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027? resolve?
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.