What are the current odds for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79.7% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027? resolve?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

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Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?

US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East Politics2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 79.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 34 minutes ago

Mar 8, 26, 9:34 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Manifold Markets

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Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?

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