KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 12:49 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 4.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027 4.5%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$47.2
Open interest
$10.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 10:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostDonald TrumpFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationABCthe Associated PressNBCAxiosThe White HouseOffice of the Supreme Leader of IranThe New York TimesPoliticoCNNReutersCBSBloomberg News
- A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.