PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 21%Leader of 14 outcomes
December 31 21%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$21.4K
Liquidity
$75.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
413
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Mar 9, 26, 10:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
April 30Lost
August 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
July 31Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 19Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 26Lost
Before close: 0% ·
June 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
March 13Lost
March 16Lost
March 31Lost
May 31Lost
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? · September 30 50%