LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
July 4 50%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 25, 26, 12:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? · December 31 21%
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8M
- 24h Vol
- $125K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date??
- Limitless prices July 4 at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? resolve?
- Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Where else is Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.