LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
September 30 50%Leader of 5 outcomes
September 30 50%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 12:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? · December 31 13%