Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDemocratic President, Democratic senate 42%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+22.0 pts
Market data
Updated 42 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 12:57 AM UTCDec 31, 43, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
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FutuurRules
Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.
- ‘Other’ is for (rare) possibilities, such as a third party president or a senate controlled by third parties.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed??
- Manifold Markets prices Democratic President, Democratic senate at 42% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? resolve?
- How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2043.
- How is How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.