How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally?
One-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicineRegulationPolitics7yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast38 21.2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Nov 8, 23, 4:33 PM UTCNov 16, 33, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
According to Wikipedia - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S._jurisdiction
- This resolves when medical marijuana is legal at a federal level.
- Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Changing the schedule of marijuana (classifying it as a lower risk/priority drug) does not constitute legalizing it.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally??
- Manifold Markets prices 38 at 21% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally? resolve?
- How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally? is scheduled to resolve on November 16, 2033.
- How is How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to Wikipedia - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S._jurisdiction