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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally?
Manifold Markets

How many states will legalize medical marijuana before it becomes legal federally?

One-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicineRegulationPolitics7y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
38 21.2%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters

9

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Stale
Nov 8, 23, 4:33 PMNov 16, 33, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

3821%

Rules

According to Wikipedia - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S._jurisdiction

Manifold Markets
  • This resolves when medical marijuana is legal at a federal level.
  • Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Changing the schedule of marijuana (classifying it as a lower risk/priority drug) does not constitute legalizing it.

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Rules

According to Wikipedia - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis_by_U.S._jurisdiction

Manifold Markets
  • This resolves when medical marijuana is legal at a federal level.
  • Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Changing the schedule of marijuana (classifying it as a lower risk/priority drug) does not constitute legalizing it.