Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 88.3%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleSep 14, 23, 10:17 PMJan 1, 34, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes12%
Volume trend
$500Jul 182d of dataJul 19
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