Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 87.7%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleMar 22, 23, 12:25 PMMar 23, 39, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes12%
Volume trend
$516Jul 192d of dataJul 20
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