Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Donald Trump were all born in 1946. In what order will they die?
PoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastTrump first, then Clinton, finally Bush 29.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
54
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 23, 1:38 AM UTCJan 2, 50, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsHillary and Bill Clinton divorce announcement before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Clinton outlive Hillary?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Clinton outlive Tony Blair?
Manifold MarketsUSS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.