What are the current odds for Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel??

Manifold Markets prices No at 81.9% as of October 5, 2026.

When does Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel? resolve?

Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel? is scheduled to resolve on March 23, 2031.

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Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

One-OffPolitics4y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 81.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Mar 22, 23, 3:01 PM UTCMar 23, 31, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

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Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

Will George W Bush outlive Angela Merkel?

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