Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecast215+ (2024 result) 97%+2.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
51
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJul 10, 25, 2:45 AMNov 3, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
215+ (2024 result)97%
Also available on Kalshi
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
0.9%7mo
+0.9%10%
10%
+2.3%8%
+9 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$774.1K
24h Vol$6.9K
KALSHIRules
Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.
- Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.
- Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats.
- If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.
- Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.
- Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats.
- If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.