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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 60.2%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 27, 23, 4:43 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Will an AI be able to generate a high-quality, fully-functional video game to a prompt by market close?
- An AI receiving the prompt “Create a complete, high-quality, rogue-like deckbuilding video game set in a dystopian future where humans and robots are at war.” should be able to handle all aspects of game creation from this prompt alone, resulting in a fully functional, high-quality video game.
- Specifications:
- For the purpose of this market:
- AI-Generated Video Game: Refers to a complete and functional video game created by an AI without human intervention in the creative process.
- This includes game design, mechanics, graphics, sound, and coding.
