Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAppears on ballot in California in 2026 91.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleDec 31, 25, 7:34 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.
- Must be a one time tax, and target individuals, families, households or family units with net worth or assets over 1b.
- Endorses is a public endorsement.
- Rumours of what he votes for or says he wants behind closed doors is not enough for resolution.
- Resolves to his first endorsement of a side.
- If he endorsed yes or no, would immediately resolve.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets?
- Manifold Markets prices Appears on ballot in California in 2026 at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets resolve?
- California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.