Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.4%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 26, 8:35 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the ICC or similar tribunal find Russians guilty of war crimes re the Nova Kakhovka dam failure?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsTrump wanted by the ICC for war crimes?
Manifold MarketsWhat US charges will Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of?
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRules
One of Australia's most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was recently arrested and charged with five counts of the war crime of murder during his deployment in Afghanistan.
- His trial is yet to be scheduled.
- Resolves YES if Ben Roberts-Smith in found guilty of at least one count of war crime - murder at any time before January 1st, 2028, AEST.
- The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting.