Annual wealth tax in any US state or federally before 2031?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionBusiness & Corporate4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 65.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 31, 26, 12:49 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will an annual wealth tax be announced?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill California pass a wealth tax referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if, on January 1, 2031, either the U.S. federal government, any of the 50 U.S. states, or the District of Columbia enacts an annual tax on personal net worth into law.
- The tax must be explicitly calculated by reference to an individual’s, married couple’s, household’s, or trust’s net worth/wealth above some threshold.
- It may apply only to very wealthy taxpayers and need not apply broadly.
- This market resolves NO otherwise.
- For this market, an annual personal net-worth tax includes:
- an annual tax of X% on net worth above $Y