How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/31-11/6)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection5d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 35 · —
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Stored price
At least 200 49%Market line of 7 lines
At least 200 49%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$37.3K
Open interest
$34.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 35Spread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 7, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 35
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump endorses at least 200 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Truth Social
- Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. Examples: Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race] Examples that would NOT count: Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump
Rules for each outcome
- At least 35
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 35 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 50 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 75
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 75 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 20
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 20 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 100
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 100 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 150 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200
- If Donald Trump endorses at least 200 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 31, 2026 through Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.