KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Nov 1, 2026 47%+25.0pt
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.7K
Liquidity
$9.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 6:30 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Trump rename something else?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- The topic is the preexisting official designation Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use.
Open markets
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+1 more outcomes
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+45 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
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+39 more outcomes
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt0%
+4 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Trump officially rename AI??
- Kalshi prices Before Nov 1, 2026 at 47% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does When will Trump officially rename AI? resolve?
- When will Trump officially rename AI? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is When will Trump officially rename AI? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.