PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$909.7
Liquidity
$24K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 8:32 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump rename any ocean before October?
KalshiWill Trump rename ICE to NICE?
KalshiWill Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the Arctic Ocean, and the Southern/Antarctic Ocean.
- Officially renaming any one of these five oceans is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the new name chosen.
- Renaming a subdivision of one of these oceans, such as the North Atlantic Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, will also qualify.
- If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames any of the five oceans accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? resolve?
- Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.