KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$109.2
Liquidity
$471.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 12.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 6:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump rename ICE to NICE??
- Kalshi prices No at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? resolve?
- Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump rename ICE to NICE? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.