KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Dec 1, 2026 · —
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Stored price
Before Dec 1, 2026 7%
Before Dec 1, 2026 7%Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Dec 1, 2026Spread
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Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingOct 10, 26, 10:41 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Dec 1, 2026
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump rename an ocean by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename ICE to NICE?
KalshiWill Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsWill Trump rename USTRANSCOM by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration. Ocean means the Atlantic, Pacific, Indian, Arctic, or Southern Ocean. The action must adopt or direct adoption of a different name for United States official use; renaming only a gulf, sea, bay, or lake does not qualify. An action covering only the portion of an ocean within United States jurisdiction qualifies. Adoption by other countries or an international body is not required.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.