Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.8%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 31, 26, 1:45 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Trump takes a concrete step towards trying to rename an ocean, such as an executive order, trying to get Congress to pass a bill, or trying to put a provision in a larger bill, I'll resolve Yes.
- He has to at least attempt to use a lever of government to rename an ocean.
- I'll be fairly liberal for what I consider trying to rename it.
- Talking about it, joking about it, etc, like he has already done will not count.
