Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionMiddle East6d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Oct 1, 2026 3%
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$14.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 2.0%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 4:04 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename any ocean before October?
KalshiWill Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- The action must adopt or direct adoption of a replacement for the preexisting name Strait of Hormuz for United States official use, with Trump as an integral element of the replacement name.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself??
- Kalshi prices Before Oct 1, 2026 at 3% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? resolve?
- Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming the Strait of Hormuz after himself after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.