KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
People's Party 73.2%Leader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 15, 25, 2:00 PM UTCAug 21, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Spanish general election winner??
- Kalshi prices People's Party at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Spanish general election winner? resolve?
- Spanish general election winner? is scheduled to resolve on August 21, 2028.
- How is Spanish general election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the winner of the next Spanish general election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.