KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 28% · —
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Stored price
At least 32% 48.5%Market line of 9 lines
At least 32% 48.5%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.9
Open interest
$2K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 28%Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 29, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 28%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is the share of the vote received by the People's Party in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for the People's Party include votes for any coalition or regional list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under the People's Party in its national results
Rules for each outcome
- At least 28%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 28% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 30%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 31%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 31% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 32%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 33%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 33% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 34%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 35%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 36%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 37%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
