At least 50%
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 51%
Yes 51%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.1K
Open interest
$3.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 29, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiSpanish general election: Vox vote percent
KalshiPrime Minister of Spain after the next election?
KalshiSpain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Spain after the next election?
LimitlessRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The percentage is the combined share of the vote received by the People's Party and Vox in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as ((total votes received by the People's Party + total votes received by Vox) ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for each of the People's Party and Vox include votes for any coalition or regional list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under that party in its national results If the two parties contest the election on a joint list, all votes for that list count toward the combined total
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.