KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 67%
No 67%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The White HouseU.S. Department of the InteriorNational Park Servicethe Associated PressReutersThe Washington PostABC News
- For this market, a qualifying action is limited to one of the following: A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing artifact loan to the Smithsonian. A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing procurement-assistance arrangement with the Smithsonian. A federal agency withholds, rescinds, suspends, or refuses a named discretionary grant to the Smithsonian, or imposes a new binding condition on that grant. The Department of the Interior or National Park Service installs any of the temporary Smithsonian-related signs or exhibits on National Park Service property ordered by Executive Order 14416. The President, Vice President, or another authorized executive-branch official takes a formal action that results in the removal, replacement, or resignation of the Smithsonian Secretary, or a change in voting control of the Smithsonian Board of Regents. For the first three items, the federal action or announcement must expressly tie the decision to the dispute over Smithsonian leadership, governance, or museum content, or to Executive Order 14253, Executive Order 14416, the July 2026 White House report, or the Aug. 28, 2026 letter. An unconditional official announcement also qualifies if the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or the responsible federal agency commits the United States to one of the listed actions, even if implementation will occur later. No other action qualifies. A conditional threat; a review, report, recommendation, meeting request, or expression of dissatisfaction; proposed legislation; a routine Smithsonian decision; or an action completed before Issuance does NOT qualify. Executive Order 14253, Executive Order 14416 itself, the July 2026 White House report, and the Aug. 28, 2026 letter therefore do NOT qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.