KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Hageman, 26+ pts 97%Leader of 11 outcomes
Hageman, 26+ pts 97%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$3.5K
Medium open interestSpread
6.1 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 28, 26, 1:03 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Wyoming by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 25-30% 50%
- Also available on Polymarket — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 30-35% 19%
