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Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Person A 50%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$94.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 6:45 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Rules
The 2026 Wyoming Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Republican 40-45% 19% · 2 venues · 0 pt band
- Also available on Limitless — Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 20-25% 52%
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 more outcomes
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.5%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $187.1M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Person A at 50% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Wyoming Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Where else is Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.