KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Harriet Hageman 97%
Harriet Hageman 97%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$17K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
97.7% / 98.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Wyoming for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Wyoming for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Harriet Hageman (R) is 97%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Harriet Hageman (R) 97% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Wyoming Senate Election Winner · Harriet Hageman (R) 97%