KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDemocrats, 17+ pts 99%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1
Liquidity
$5.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
92.8% / 99.0%
Spread
6.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:23 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
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Selected outcome
Democrats, 17+ pts99%
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If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Maine's 1st District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.